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Serious Political Discussion About The Elections : Swingers Discussion 20881310432
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FORUMSGeneral DiscussionsPoliticsSerious Political Discussion About The Elections
TOPIC: Serious Political Discussion About The Elections
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University of Colorado Professors Ken Bickers and Michael Berry have quite a set of bragging rights up their sleeve – namely, they’ve devised a mathematical model of the Electoral College that has predicted every Presidential race correctly since Ronald Reagan won the Presidency in 1980.

And despite recent polls showing the presidential race deadlocked both nationally and in key swing states, Bickers and Berry‘s model shows a race that isn’t even close. According to them, not only will Mitt Romney win, but he will win big, taking 320 Electoral Votes to President Obama’s 218 – a result almost as decisive as President Obama’s win against Senator John McCain in 2008.

To predict the race’s outcome, the model uses economic indicators from all 50 states and it shows 320 electoral votes for Romney and 218 for Obama, according to The Associated Press. The model also suggests that Romney will win every state currently considered a swing state which includes Florida, Virginia, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Minnesota, New Hampshire and Colorado.[...]

Berry cautions that just because the model has worked in the past, doesn’t mean it will work this time. “As scholars and pundits well know, each election has unique elements that could lead one or more states to behave in ways in a particular election that the model is unable to correctly predict,” Berry said in a statement. Some of those factors include the timeframe of the current economic data used in the study (the data used was taken five months before the November election, but Berry and Bickers plan to update it with more current data come September) as well as tight races. States that are very close to a 50-50 split, the authors warn, can fall in an unexpected direction.

theblaze.c om/stories/electoral-college-model-predicts-romney-will-win-big-in-2012-and-its-been-right-since-1980/

Rumson NJ
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Quite a few people no longer take part in the political fora precisely because it became a putrid, toxic dump ground that lacks actual true discourse. I know this, because I communicate with these people offline and on SLS. It's becoming more and more frustrating to wade through ill informed, or simply silly ignorance. It's tiring to read insults that no one really cares about, and snarks.

Is it possible at all to discuss this election in a calm rational fashion? no name calling, no snarks, discussions based on actual facts? Maybe some of the intelligent people that left can return.

If at all possible, if you are not able to keep up, if you don't have the facts and are not willing to educate yourself or listen with an open mind to others, without resorting to petty insults and abusive language, keep posting in other threads, the political fora is full of them. It's not too much to ask, take it as a plea for sanity and intelligence to prevail.

Rumson NJ
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(16801 posts)
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TOPIC: Serious Political Discussion About The Elections