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TOPIC: Predictions!!!
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1531 to 1540 of 1951
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Looks like he sold his firm to some Brazilian outfit.

Fullerton CA
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Beats me. He is?

I'm being too lazy to look up what happened to him. I really need to wrap up my day and get to our weekend party house....

Windermere FL
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Robert,sure the military will take out a few idiots who just wana shoot people because they either disagree or don't like them.but when it's millions who have had enough of the people they hire and pay like huh the fuked up government, I doubt the military turning on the peoPle they swore to protect

Rayne LA
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You mean Rush Limbaugh's personal pollster?

Fullerton CA
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What happened to Zogby? We used to hear Zogby polls all the time.....

Windermere FL
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Rasmussen is kind of a strange case.

While their final polls in those years have been pretty accurate, their daily tracking polls have shown a significant Republican house effect for a very long time.

One of the most closely guarded secrets of polling is the particular pollster's model. Who do they think will vote in the election. That probably accounts for most of the variation.

Fullerton CA
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From that Silver article: "After the Republican convention in 2008, Gallup had John McCain leading Mr. Obama by as many as 10 points among likely voters. Although some other polls also had Mr. McCain pulling ahead in the race, no other polling firm ever gave him larger than a four-point lead."

Hendersonville NC
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I read some of Nate Silver's article. I think he's being fair.

I will say, as a general statement, we tend to pump polls which tell us what we want to hear, and dismiss or attempt to discredit polls which do not.

Rasmussen being a great example. In spite of being one of the most accurate in 2004, 2006, and 2008, its poor performance in 2010 caused it to be widely panned by Democrats as being a pro-Republican spin poll. Since it has more recently shown results Democrats like to hear, they are quietly citing Rasmussen again.

Windermere FL
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Fjep:

Your survey was written by a child. You don't ask the military if they will shoot people not shooting at them, or to police the nation... Collecting such weapons are the job of the police, FBI, ATF.

Now show me a survey where the soldiers are asked if they would put down a rebellion. If the soldiers will kill a group of citizens who have taken it upon themselves to try and secede from the US. Because that is what we have been talking about.

Hazle Township PA
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I thought Obama was funnier than Romney last night. It is funny watching Mitt tell jokes, though.

Hendersonville NC
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1531 to 1540 of 1951
TOPIC: Predictions!!!

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