Predictions!!!: Swingers Discussion 206129101501

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Predictions!!!: Swingers Discussion 206129101501

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TOPIC: Predictions!!!

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User Details are only visible to members.	President - My analysis The current models (based on polling alone, not other predictors) suggest that Obama will win (if the voting matched the polls precisely). But, the electoral college picture is dicey. The polls show Obama winning the popular vote by only about 1% but delivering a pretty good thumping in the electoral college - 332 to 206. This is because of the great majority of "squeaker" states are blue. There are 122 electoral college votes at stake in states with less than 3% differences. Only one (NC) is polling red - the other 107 electoral college votes are in blue states. A very small shift to the right will result in a large loss of electoral college votes for the Democrats. Historically, Republicans have a higher turnout rate at the polls than Democrats. So if the polls show a 50-50 split, Democrats have plenty to worry about, because it'll really be more like 52-48 when the votes are counted. IF the election were held today, I believe the result would be very close to that in 2000 - Obama would win the electoral college - just barely - while slightly losing the popular vote. But, the election is not today, and I am still not comfy making a prediction 9 weeks out. A shift to Romney of even 2 points will be absolutely lethal to Obama. Obama cannot afford to see his poll numbers drop - at all. If he can succeed at preventing that, he will win, if not, he will lose.
Chesapeake VA			Username hidden (11692 post)

User Details are only visible to members.	Ill go as far as to bet money,,,Romney landslide. People are tired of being broke and seing half their neighbors on entitlements, are tired of the USA Obamass not standing with Isreal are tired of seeing our money dumped on people like Soros and OWS are tired of seeing Muslims being allowed to anything here in the USA I can go on for hours. Mickey.
Maurice LA			Username hidden (3729 post)

User Details are only visible to members.	and with what the democrats are now saying about not reading the healtcare bill I foresee a Republican landslide espically if the Republicans do turn things around
Falls City OR			Username hidden (368 post)

User Details are only visible to members.	Federal- Watching all the indicators from the past soley that have predicted the winner Romney/Ryan Oregon already had their governmental Elections Unfourntunately Dudley was defeated and we got Kitzhaber and Wyden again. Lousisiana: hands down Bobby Jindal
Falls City OR			Username hidden (368 post)

User Details are only visible to members.	Three weeks closer and my predictions stand... Obama will 'pull an FDR' and appeal to the electorate to 'vote out this do nothing congress' and the message will resonate. -Obama will win. Perhaps by a wider margin than supposed -The Senate will remain in Dem control, perhaps a few Senators thinner -The House will revert to Dem control on a very slim margin -At least one national politician will refuse to vacate their seat-most likely a tea partier in the house -At the State level I think is where the Repubs will take the most damage -The repubs will make an attempt to 'steal' at least one state and will be caught. I think that hits all the high points.... ;)
East Fishkill NY			Username hidden (2772 post)

User Details are only visible to members.	Have you put a blue bandaid on your Halloween and RNC marching tin-man band mask yet?
Treasure Is FL			Username hidden (6109 post)

User Details are only visible to members.	Z Z; Did you buy your baskets for your heads yet?
Denver CO			Username hidden (1170 post)

User Details are only visible to members.	Will you be wearing your Alfred E. Newman mask when you march with blue bandaid tin men for Romney?
Treasure Is FL			Username hidden (6109 post)

User Details are only visible to members.	"only a moron would vote for him." I don't think Choucho is registered to vote here, and doesn't have a photo ID anyway.
San Quentin CA			Username hidden (8604 post)

User Details are only visible to members.	Z Z: Are you a writer for, MAD MAGAZINE?
Denver CO			Username hidden (1170 post)

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TOPIC: Predictions!!!