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TOPIC: Predictions!!!
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1381 to 1390 of 1951
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Subtract 2 to 3 points on every poll number Obama is showing to get to real polling numbers.

White Hse Sta NJ
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In 2000 and it has already been brought up. BUT if he has the papers and there is spousal abuse as cause, Barry boy is toast. Though IMO if one of the was a abuser it probably would have been Michelle.

Sanford NC
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According to 538, Obama has a 73% chance of winning Nevada, a 70% chance of winning Ohio, and an 81% chance of winning Wisconsin.

Oh, and a 92% chance of winning Pennsylvania.

Fullerton CA
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Oh wait yes I have, although I admit I haven't looked at it too carefully....

I'll take a look when I can give it some real attention.

Windermere FL
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( no need, the world recognizes the NYT is a leftist dying dinosaur)

White Hse Sta NJ
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Just put 538 in the google machine and it comes right up.

Nate Silver runs the place. He used to be independent, but the NYT offered him a pile of money to come over there.

(Insert snarky Akron comment about the NYT here)

Fullerton CA
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Ohio goes to Romney 52-48.

Pennsylvania is too close to call.

Nevada goes to Romney 50.2 -49.8.

Wisconsin goes Romney 51 - 49.

White Hse Sta NJ
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No... haven't heard of that one. It's just called 538?

My point is that Obama is in the lead but the lead is dangling by a thread. You said Romney didn't really have much in the way of routes to 270. He has several. Small gains in a couple of states (without losing anything) and he's got it.

Windermere FL
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When did Michelle file for divorce and how did Obama talk her out of it?

White Hse Sta NJ
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However, according to electoral vote, Obama is already there...

Do you ever peruse 538? Much more robust model...

Fullerton CA
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1381 to 1390 of 1951
TOPIC: Predictions!!!

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