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People don't really understand time.

Just because it is likely to happen now doesn't mean it will happen six months from now.

The Dems should spend their time trying to turn things to their favor.

And the Repubs should try to refrain from nominating any whackos.

They probably would have had the Senate by now but for the Tea Party.

Fullerton CA
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"However, 6 months is a long time in politics. And if you read the piece, Silver says as much. "

I did, actually, and I've always said more or less the same thing. The point of this post was not to crow about a projected Republican win in the Senate, it was to have a laugh at how the DNC was reacting to Nate's piece.

In previous "Predictions" threads I've always refused to make predictions more than perhaps 4-6 weeks out, simply because there is too much that can happen and the voting public is fickle.

Winter Garden FL
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I think the POTUS has an almost impossible job to always do right, and most of the media is relentless in it's search for dissention. And though I agree with many of Obama's and his party's desires to help the poor of our country, I don't think they have a clue how to make that really happen. And it hasn't happened! Because of his ineptness, we are spending and borrowing like drunken idiots, jeopardizing our future, and fucking up almost everything we are trying to improve. Added to that, and many Democrats are beginning to realize it, is Obama's failure to realize that a relentless trail of lies denude him of public trust. Yet he continues to lie to us. One after the other - like a barrage of bullshit. Believe me, we will see and hear every one of those lies, over and over again. And they will be high lighted, over and over again, by the lies and soupy stupidities of Nancy and the thug like belligerency of Harry. Right there, before our eyes, over and over a zillion times, we will see and hear that Obamacare will reduce an average family's health care cost by $2,500, and we can keep our Doctor, etc. etc. etc., ad nauseam! We will see and hear over and over how Obiedobie has proven to be a dupe in his foreign policy,( if there is such) starting with his lies about Benghazi, the shriveling red line in Syria, the laughable "all options on the table" with the Ayatollahs, (still there after 4 years), the weak fold-up pull outs in Iraq and Afghanistan, and most recently, his crumbling stature as he embarrassed us by failing to stand up to a swaggering Putin as the rest of the world gasped. And we won't be allowed to forget how the IRS thugs beat up Republican organizations prior to the last election, and how Lois Lerner will continue to be pursued like a rabbit chased by hound dogs until she folds, finally thrown under the Bus from Chicago.

And when we finally ask that most serious question, most of us who honestly think the truth, will have to admit that we are worse off, the country is worse off, the poor are worse off, the so called middle class is worse off, and though Obama is the main reason, his party must bear responsibility.

I don't know how the country will vote, but I sure know how I will! And the one thing that gags me the most is the mistrust I now have for our Country's leadership. That REALLY upsets me and really pisses me off!

Hockessin DE
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When Nate made his original predictions in 2010, Harry Reid was losing, and if the election had been held then, we would probably have a female Senator from Nevada.

However, 6 months is a long time in politics. And if you read the piece, Silver says as much.

It does look fairly grim for the Senate, unless the Dems can come up with some magic elixir that makes all the Dem voters come out...

Fullerton CA
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This is priceless.....

Remember in 2012 when NYT data bitch Nate Silver correctly predicted the election outcome in all 50 states + DC? His predictions were dismissed by Republicans and he was held up as a numbers God by Democrats, and rightfully so. He seems to know his shit very well and not be pushing any kind of agenda.

Well, he's predicting a Republican gain of 6 seats in the Senate, with the full range of being +1 to +11. So his "middle of the road" prediction is a switch of the Senate to Republicans.

Predictably, Democrats aren't happy with this prediction, and as the GOP did in 2012, are choosing to assail Nate Silver and his numbers instead of taking them seriously. They go back in time to find specific examples of Nate's analysis being wrong as a way to "debunk" his prediction.

In a, DSCC Executive Director Guy Cecil notes that Silver’s projections in 2012 in North Dakota and Montana — both conservative-leaning states — were “so far off” and that Silver also said Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and Sen. Michael Bennet would have little chance of winning in 2010. Not only did Reid and Bennet win four years ago, but so did Heidi Heitkamp in North Dakota and Sen. Jon Tester in Montana in 2012, Cecil noted.

Winter Garden FL
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It was actually a way for the insurance industry to step up their thievery to a whole new level.


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WAIT a fuckin' minute. Wasn't this batshit owebama care scam supposed to insure those 20 to 30 million that did not have insurance. So we have had our healthcare system totally screwed up by a bunch of raving lunatics and there are still 20 to 30 million uninsured. Glad to see you are admitting the whole thing was a giant lie.

Spring Branch TX
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I agree!

Moron Buenos Aires Argentina
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Andrew:

And yet, you fail to understand the psychology.

It doesn't matter if the boss pays the employee a few dollars more a paycheck, the impact that will make is less than the impact if being given something from the employer. The short term effect will be to blame the employer, the long term effect will be to see the government giving healthcare as a single payer system.

The macro strategist can more often than not, adapt their grand plan to kill the micro strategist. All the micro strategist can do, is interfere and slow the macro plan.

Also you must understand that there are 20 to 30 million US citizens without any kind of healthcare. Can they go to an emergency room? Yes, and be in debt for life and never advance themselves in life, because of that debt.

To many, that is unacceptable. They are not a small enough minority to be ignored and kept out of the publics eye, so you must deal with them. The private market has had 40 plus years to do it, the private market chose not to. Now this is the medicine the private market receives, the eventual destruction of the insurance based medical system.

Can things be turned around? Yes. But the private markets must do the unthinkable. The wealthiest must bleed, they must bleed enough to the smaller businesses, so that those businesses can provide medical to their employees. I cannot matter if you flip cheeseburgers once a week or every day, it cannot matter if you educate a thousand kids a day, or sling trash.

Unless the wealthy bleed, and within the next two to four years, there is no turning back on the medical issue. Follow the short path to immediate greed, or the long, more lean path to national prosperity. That choice is left up to the wealthy, it always has been.

Hazle Township PA
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Robert, he's giving his people an allowance equal to what he would have spent to cover them before the god damn government decided to "help" us with a fascist takeover of the system, and he doesn't have to do that either. I love it. He's still doing a good thing as an employer, while placing the blame for this garbage where it belongs, on the criminal fascist regime that dumbass Americans re-elected last year.

Hilliard OH
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TOPIC: W T F