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TOPIC: WTF
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According to Wiki, the average time from nomination to confirmation since Reagan is 2.2 months.

So April 1 is not going to happen. May 1 would be about the norm, but in this political climate, I think there is a 50-50 chance that the vacancy is not filled until after the inauguration.

Fullerton CA
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This is a slightly different political argument because it's really a matter of us trying to make predictions, rather than arguing about what's right or wrong. So we are all making our best guess.

I am not a betting man, but I predict a replacement will be confirmed by May 1. And I think that's generous. More like April 1. But I'll say May 1 to have confidence.

If this were October I might be inclined to agree on waiting until after the election, but it's not. However, SOME people want the president to make it as a recess appointment and skip the senate confirmation altogether, as congress does not resume until Feb. 22. That to me is unacceptable. We can wait a week until congress is back. It'll take that long to make a decision on a nominee anyway.

Windermere FL
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Absolutely agree GOP will do everything possible to stop any nominee until new prez is in office. Whether you think it is a bluff or not, it is going to be a very ugly year, and even if they do allow a nominee to pass through, you can believe it will be at a very high cost to Dems.

Lake Wales FL
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i found out that more than half of the students that misbehaved last week had been through a change in custody within the last 6 weeks. Who knows, perhaps others could also could be in the same situation but they just didn't share it with me.

Treating kids like hot potatoes just might not be good for them.

Carrollton TX
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That's a good point VA.

I may see things a certain way but I would like to have my news as unbiased as possible.

Carrollton TX
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Authorities in Monterrey found "luxury cells" with aquariums, portable saunas and even a bar at a Mexican prison where 49 inmates were killed in a brawl, officials said Sunday.

Zetas drug cartel leader Ivan Hernandez Cantu, alias "El Credo," had a king-sized bed in his cell, a huge flat-screen television and a luxury bath, the Nuevo Leon state prosecutor's office said.

"At the time of the attack, a lady was with him," chief prosecutor Roberto Flores said.

The prison had "luxury cells" with air conditioners, mini-fridges, digital televisions, aquariums and portable saunas, the government said in a statement, adding that authorities had seized everything.

The prison had food stands, convenience stores and even a bar that were operated by inmates, the statement said.

Windermere FL
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While I don't doubt your awareness of web browsers etc I just think it's very easy to forget such things and assume that everyone is seeing the same news when they open their web browser.

Windermere FL
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We have stopped watching the news and reading any newspapers (except the comics). We don't believe anything that we hear on news as it is what the news editor believe is important and not the full story. There are many examples of this by news editors.

Honolulu HI
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sorry i broke my own cardinal rule of not bringing up politics and worse yet interjecting them into the open fora.

VA, with all due respect i know very well all about browsers and etc., etc.--and with all due respect although i wholeheartedly hope i am wrong, i completly disagree with your assessment/comments here.

i am walking away from this discussion--repeating that i broke my own cardinal rule re: NOT discussing political matters is why.

Bridgewater NJ
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This discussion is probably more appropriate for Politics, but I'l play along here for now.

I am going to disagree (surprise!) on your reading of the situation.

The Republicans, and to a lesser extent the Democrats, are getting more comfortable with the proverbial game of chicken.

We have had a government shut down for the first time in our history. There is an unprecedented lack of civility (at least in this century) between the various branches of government. I'll dig up plenty of examples if you need them.

And we are not talking about some minor official in some mindless bureaucratic office. A SCOTUS judge has immense power to affect the very fabric of the country. That sound like hyperbole, but it is not. Especially in the present situation, in which the next justice will determine the composition of the composition of the court, and probably determine the fate of the ACA, climate change laws, campaign finance, and a host of other issues.

On top of that, there is the little matter of the presidential election. I don't think the Republicans have much of a chance to win the presidency, but they think they do. So they have an incentive to stop the nomination in the hopes that a Republican will be elected, and they will maintain a conservative dominated court...

In summary, I hope you are right, but there are a whole mess of factors that may push it the other way...

Fullerton CA
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TOPIC: WTF
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